It’s election season in Florida. Because of that, you’ll probably be hearing about “tort reform” in political ads and debates in the next few months.
Rick Scott, the Republican candidate for governor, has announced a “7-7-7 Plan” which is supposed to put 700,000 Floridians back to work. Predictably one part of the plan is to “limit frivolous lawsuits by implementing tort reform.”
We aren’t sure exactly what Scott has in mind. But the reality is that the Florida justice system has already been through several rounds of so-called tort reforms. For example, reforms enacted in the last several decades have limited lawsuit damages available to auto accident victims, restricted people’s ability to pursue medical malpractice claims, and provided for mandatory attorney’s fee awards against people who reject certain formal settlement offers.
These types of reforms are peddled to the public on the ground that they will reduce verdicts and settlements. This, in turn, is supposed to lead to lower insurance claim payments, which will result in lower insurance premiums for everybody. So why has this not occurred with the waves of “reforms” we’ve seen already? The reason is simple: insurance premiums are not driven by insurance claim payments at all. Instead, premiums rise and fall because of something called the insurance business cycle.
The insurance business cycle stems from the way insurance companies make money. Big insurers don’t simply profit by paying out less in claims than they receive in premiums. The real money is actually made through investment income. Insurers take their profits and invest them in the same types of things as any institutional investor: bonds, stocks, and the like. This generates investment income, which is actually where insurers make most of the return on their net worth.
When the economy is doing well, insurance companies make a lot of money through investment income. To get more money to put toward their lucrative investments, they offer lower and lower premiums. They hope to grab more market share and consequently, more cash to invest. This downward pressure on premiums creates what insurance professionals call a “soft” market.
Eventually, when the economy stalls, interests rates fall, or low premiums reduce profits, insurance companies respond by drastically increasing premiums and reducing coverages. The insurance industry then enters a “hard” market period. After a while, prices stabilize, the market softens, and the cycle repeats itself.
Hard markets create political clamor about a “liability insurance crisis” and the need for tort reform. However, tort lawsuits don’t create hard markets in the first place. For the same reason, curbing lawsuits will not make a hard market go away. Much larger market forces, such as those at work in the recent financial crisis, are responsible for the conditions that create that cycle.
The insurance business cycle is well understood by those in the industry. The relationship between availability of insurance, and the premiums one has to pay for insurance, are directly related to that cycle. Lawsuits, settlements, or verdicts do not affect that relationship.
You won’t hear about this from Rick Scott, or probably even from Alex Sink. It’s a lot easier for political types to blame lawyers than the business model used by insurance companies. But we hope you’ll think about myth versus reality as you’re subjected to the usual blitz of political ads and slogans in the next few months.
